In classical earthquake risk assessment the human behavior is actually not take into account in risk assessment. Agent-based modeling is a simulation technique that has been applied recently in several fields,such as emergency evacuation. The paper is proposing a methodology that includes in agent-based models the human behavior, considering the anxiety effects generated by the crowd and their influence on the evacuation delays. The proposed model is able to take into account the interdependency between the earthquake evacuation process and the corresponding damage of structural and non-structural components which is expressed in term of fragility curves. The software REPAST HPC has been used to implement the model and as case study the earthquake evacuation by a mall located in Oakland has been used. The human behavior model has been calibrated through a survey using a miscellaneous sample from different countries. The model can be used to test future scenarios and help local authorities in situations where the human behavior plays a key role.

Simulating Earthquake Evacuation Using Human Behavior Models / Cimellaro, GIAN PAOLO; Ozzello, Fabrizio; Vallero, Alessio; Mahin, S.; Shao, B.. - In: EARTHQUAKE ENGINEERING & STRUCTURAL DYNAMICS. - ISSN 0098-8847. - ELETTRONICO. - 46:5(2017), pp. 1-18. [10.1002/eqe.2840]

Simulating Earthquake Evacuation Using Human Behavior Models

CIMELLARO, GIAN PAOLO;OZZELLO, FABRIZIO;VALLERO, ALESSIO;
2017

Abstract

In classical earthquake risk assessment the human behavior is actually not take into account in risk assessment. Agent-based modeling is a simulation technique that has been applied recently in several fields,such as emergency evacuation. The paper is proposing a methodology that includes in agent-based models the human behavior, considering the anxiety effects generated by the crowd and their influence on the evacuation delays. The proposed model is able to take into account the interdependency between the earthquake evacuation process and the corresponding damage of structural and non-structural components which is expressed in term of fragility curves. The software REPAST HPC has been used to implement the model and as case study the earthquake evacuation by a mall located in Oakland has been used. The human behavior model has been calibrated through a survey using a miscellaneous sample from different countries. The model can be used to test future scenarios and help local authorities in situations where the human behavior plays a key role.
File in questo prodotto:
File Dimensione Formato  
s1-ln24836745636776758-1939656818Hwf-1882821379IdV-182373735424836745PDF_HI0001.pdf

accesso aperto

Descrizione: Articolo principale
Tipologia: 1. Preprint / submitted version [pre- review]
Licenza: PUBBLICO - Tutti i diritti riservati
Dimensione 2.63 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
2.63 MB Adobe PDF Visualizza/Apri
Simulating earthquake evacuation using human behavior models.pdf

non disponibili

Tipologia: 2a Post-print versione editoriale / Version of Record
Licenza: Non Pubblico - Accesso privato/ristretto
Dimensione 995.54 kB
Formato Adobe PDF
995.54 kB Adobe PDF   Visualizza/Apri   Richiedi una copia
Pubblicazioni consigliate

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11583/2667595
 Attenzione

Attenzione! I dati visualizzati non sono stati sottoposti a validazione da parte dell'ateneo